The Pre-Holiday Effect in China: Abnormal Returns or Compensation for Risk?
This study examines the pre-holiday effect in the Chinese stock market. It provides new insights into the weak-form efficiency of China's equity market indexes. Using the GARCH (1,1) model, we find the pre-holiday effect in broad-based Chinese stock returns and in size, value and growth style indexes. Further analysis using a GARCH (1,1)-M model suggests that the pre-holiday effect at both market and industry/sector levels can be attributed to time-varying risk. We show the pre-holiday effect reflects abnormal returns in small-cap, large-cap and growth style indexes while this same effect reflects compensation for bearing risk in value stocks.
Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies
Banking, Finance and Investment not elsewhere classified