Probative Blindness: How Safety Activity can fail to Update Beliefs about Safety
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Accidents are preceded by a period where, in hindsight, there was an opportunity to recognise and prevent the impending disaster. Various theories have attempted to describe and explain why warning signs are ignored. This paper examines the specific role of safety analysis as a warning mechanism. Depending on the context of the analysis, and the selection of activities, safety analysis may only serve to provide assurance of safety, even when such assurance is unwarranted. A better understanding of false assurance prior to accidents will allow for more appropriate selection, performance and interpretation of safety analysis methods and results.
9th IET International Conference on System Safety and Cyber Security 2014
© 2014 IET Digital Library. This is the author-manuscript version of this paper. Reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the conference's website for access to the definitive, published version.
Risk Engineering (excl. Earthquake Engineering)