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  • The pace of shifting climate in marine and terrestrial ecosystems

    Author(s)
    Burrows, Michael T
    Schoeman, David S
    Buckley, Lauren B
    Moore, Pippa
    Poloczanska, Elvira S
    Brander, Keith M
    Brown, Chris
    Bruno, John F
    Duarte, Carlos M
    Halpern, Benjamin S
    Holding, Johnna
    Kappel, Carrie V
    Kiessling, Wolfgang
    O'Connor, Mary I
    Pandolfi, John M
    Parmesan, Camille
    Schwing, Franklin B
    Sydeman, William J
    Richardson, Anthony J
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Brown, Chris J.
    Year published
    2011
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract
    Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier ...
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    Climate change challenges organisms to adapt or move to track changes in environments in space and time. We used two measures of thermal shifts from analyses of global temperatures over the past 50 years to describe the pace of climate change that species should track: the velocity of climate change (geographic shifts of isotherms over time) and the shift in seasonal timing of temperatures. Both measures are higher in the ocean than on land at some latitudes, despite slower ocean warming. These indices give a complex mosaic of predicted range shifts and phenology changes that deviate from simple poleward migration and earlier springs or later falls. They also emphasize potential conservation concerns, because areas of high marine biodiversity often have greater velocities of climate change and seasonal shifts.
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    Journal Title
    Science
    Volume
    334
    Issue
    6056
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1210288
    Subject
    Ecological Impacts of Climate Change
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/173601
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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