Toward a Macroscopic Model of Road Fatalities in Queensland
MetadataShow full item record
This paper is a progress report on some explorations with modelling, at a macroscopic level, the determination of road fatalities in Queensland. The emerging results suggest that there has been a gradual, long-run downward trend underlying the number of road fatalities per registered vehicle. Further, the rate of seat belt usage appears to have had a major impact on the incidence of road fatalities. As for the other safety policy measures - such as the random road watch program, the deployment of speed cameras and the lowering of the maximum blood alcohol level to 0.05% - the results obtained to date suggest a significant impact from them as a combined package. However, reliable estimates of the individual effects must await further research. Eventual findings will add to the body of evidence that supports decision-making by policy-makers and advisers.
APDSI 2008: 13th Asian-Pacific Decision Sciences Institute Conference
Copyright 2008 Asian-Pacific Decision Sciences Institute (APDSI). The attached file is posted here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher, for your personal use only. No further distribution permitted. Use hypertext link for access to the conference website.
Road Transportation and Freight Services
Economic Models and Forecasting
Information and Computing Sciences not elsewhere classified