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  • Even Paranoids Have Enemies: Cyclone Nargis and Myanmar's Fears of Invasion

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    Author(s)
    Selth, Andrew
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Selth, Andrew W.
    Year published
    2008
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    Abstract
    Most strategic analysts outside Myanmar dismiss an invasion of the country as a fantasy on the part of the military government, albeit one shared by some of its critics. In international relations, however, perceptions can be more important than objective facts. Fears of armed intervention by the United States, or a UN-endorsed coalition, have been strong influences on the ruling council's defence and foreign policies ever since the 1988 pro-democracy uprising. In that sense, the regime's heightened threat perceptions constitute a strategic reality that must be taken into account by the international community. As seen after ...
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    Most strategic analysts outside Myanmar dismiss an invasion of the country as a fantasy on the part of the military government, albeit one shared by some of its critics. In international relations, however, perceptions can be more important than objective facts. Fears of armed intervention by the United States, or a UN-endorsed coalition, have been strong influences on the ruling council's defence and foreign policies ever since the 1988 pro-democracy uprising. In that sense, the regime's heightened threat perceptions constitute a strategic reality that must be taken into account by the international community. As seen after Cyclone Nargis struck Myanmar in May 2008, failure to do so can make the delivery of humanitarian assistance, and the search for viable long term solutions to Myanmar's complex problems, much more difficult.
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    Journal Title
    Contemporary Southeast Asia
    Volume
    30
    Issue
    3
    Publisher URI
    http://www.iseas.edu.sg/
    http://bookshop.iseas.edu.sg/ISEAS/Journal.jsp?cSeriesCode=CS30/3
    Copyright Statement
    © 2008 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the journal's website for access to the definitive, published version.
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/26283
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    • Journal articles

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