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  • Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate: the case of China's trade with the USA

    Author(s)
    Narayan, Paresh
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Narayan, Paresh
    Year published
    2006
    Metadata
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    Abstract
    In this paper, we investigate the nexus between China's trade balance and the real exchange rate vis-a`-vis the USA. Using the bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find evidence that China's trade balance and real exchange rate vis-a`-vis the USA are cointegrated, and using the autoregressive distributed lag model we find that in both the short run and the long run a real devaluation of the Chinese RMB improves the trade balance; as a result, there is no evidence of a J-curve type adjustment.In this paper, we investigate the nexus between China's trade balance and the real exchange rate vis-a`-vis the USA. Using the bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find evidence that China's trade balance and real exchange rate vis-a`-vis the USA are cointegrated, and using the autoregressive distributed lag model we find that in both the short run and the long run a real devaluation of the Chinese RMB improves the trade balance; as a result, there is no evidence of a J-curve type adjustment.
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    Journal Title
    Applied Economics Letters
    Volume
    13
    Issue
    8
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850500400488
    Subject
    Public Health and Health Services
    Applied Economics
    Banking, Finance and Investment
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/26949
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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