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  • Cardiovascular risk prediction model for Omanis with type 2 diabetes

    Author(s)
    Alrawahi, Abdul Hakeem
    Lee, Patricia
    Al-Anqoudi, Zaher AM
    Alrabaani, Muna
    Al-Busaidi, Ahmed
    Almahrouqi, Faisal
    Albusaidi, Ahmed M
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Lee, Patricia T.
    Year published
    2018
    Metadata
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    Abstract
    Aim: To date, no cardiovascular risk assessment tool has been developed specifically for any Arabian population including Omanis. This study aims to develop a suitable cardiovascular risk prediction model in the form of a statistical equation, for Omanis with type 2 diabetes. Materials and methods: A sample of 2039 patients with type 2 diabetes selected from primary care settings in the Aldakhiliyah Province of Oman were involved in a retrospective cohort study. All patients were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline (in 2009–2010) and were followed up until: 1) their first cardiovascular event occurred; 2) the patient ...
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    Aim: To date, no cardiovascular risk assessment tool has been developed specifically for any Arabian population including Omanis. This study aims to develop a suitable cardiovascular risk prediction model in the form of a statistical equation, for Omanis with type 2 diabetes. Materials and methods: A sample of 2039 patients with type 2 diabetes selected from primary care settings in the Aldakhiliyah Province of Oman were involved in a retrospective cohort study. All patients were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline (in 2009–2010) and were followed up until: 1) their first cardiovascular event occurred; 2) the patient died, or 3) the end of the data collection in December 2015. Results: Among the total sample, 192 cardiovascular disease events were recorded within a mean follow-up period of 5.3-year. The 5-year probability of a cardiovascular event was given as 1 − 0.9991Exp∑XiBi, where Exp ∑XiBi (hazard ratio) = Exp (0.038 age + 0.052 DM duration + 0.102 HbA1c + 0.201 total cholesterol + 0.912 albuminuria [1 if present] + 0.166 hypertension [1 if present] + 0.005 BMI). Conclusion: The first cardiovascular risk prediction tool in the Arab world was developed in this study. It may be used to estimate the 5-year cardiovascular risk among Omanis with type 2 diabetes in order to plan patient management and preventive measures. However, further validation studies are required to determine the accuracy of the model.
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    Journal Title
    Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research & Review
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsx.2017.09.012
    Note
    This publication has been entered into Griffith Research Online as an Advanced Online Version.
    Subject
    Clinical sciences
    Epidemiology not elsewhere classified
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/355047
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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