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  • Population Ageing and House Prices in Australia

    Author(s)
    Guest, Ross
    Swift, Robyn
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Guest, Ross
    Year published
    2010
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract
    This article assesses the effect of population ageing on housing consumption and house prices. Using two approaches, this article finds that the ageing of the population may cause average real house prices to be between 3 and 27 per cent lower than they otherwise would be over the period 2008-2050. The first approach is an econometric estimation of house prices for Australia over the period 1980-2008. The second approach is a simulation of a life cycle-optimising model with representative overlapping generations.This article assesses the effect of population ageing on housing consumption and house prices. Using two approaches, this article finds that the ageing of the population may cause average real house prices to be between 3 and 27 per cent lower than they otherwise would be over the period 2008-2050. The first approach is an econometric estimation of house prices for Australia over the period 1980-2008. The second approach is a simulation of a life cycle-optimising model with representative overlapping generations.
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    Journal Title
    The Australian Economic Review
    Volume
    43
    Issue
    3
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8462.2010.00586.x
    Subject
    Economics
    Applied economics not elsewhere classified
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/35835
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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