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dc.contributor.authorPhan, Thuc D
dc.contributor.authorSmart, James CR
dc.contributor.authorSahin, Oz
dc.contributor.authorCapon, Samantha J
dc.contributor.authorHadwen, Wade L
dc.date.accessioned2019-06-07T01:31:42Z
dc.date.available2019-06-07T01:31:42Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.identifier.issn0959-6526
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.169
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/380377
dc.description.abstractWater resources management faces many challenges in coastal areas of developing countries, where climate change coupled with high rates of population growth and urbanization have the potential to cause severe water scarcity. Of particular concern, are sea level rise and altered precipitation regimes that will influence spatial and temporal patterns of river discharge, water levels and saltwater penetration in estuaries. A sound understanding of factors affecting the vulnerability of coastal freshwater systems is therefore needed to mitigate the potential impacts of climatic and non-climatic changes. In this study, a system dynamics modeling approach was employed to explore the vulnerability of the coastal freshwater system in Da Do Basin, Vietnam to projected sea level rise, upstream flow decline and socio-economic development. This system includes the Da Do River and irrigation channels that receive freshwater through sluice gates from the Van Uc and Lach Tray rivers. The model was developed as a learning tool for decision-makers to improve their understanding of the spatial and temporal dynamic behaviors of the system and to inform adaptation decision-making by allowing exploration of plausible future scenarios. The model was developed, calibrated and validated using both historical data and expert knowledge elucidated via stakeholder consultation. Model results indicate that under current conditions, freshwater availability is sufficient to meet existing domestic, industrial and agricultural demands. However, the coastal freshwater system changes significantly and collapses under several plausible future scenarios. Future projections suggest that declining upstream flows will be the strongest threat to the system's vulnerability. System dynamics models enable consideration of the interactive effects of a range of climatic and non-climatic drivers on water resources availability thereby facilitating improved planning for collective and proactive adaptation actions to efficiently secure freshwater resources to support socio-economic development of coastal basins in the face of climate change.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.publisher.placeNetherlands
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom940
dc.relation.ispartofpageto955
dc.relation.ispartofjournalJournal of Cleaner Production
dc.relation.ispartofvolume183
dc.subject.fieldofresearchOther environmental sciences not elsewhere classified
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEnvironmental engineering
dc.subject.fieldofresearchManufacturing engineering
dc.subject.fieldofresearchOther engineering
dc.subject.fieldofresearchBuilt environment and design
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEngineering
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode419999
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode4011
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode4014
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode4099
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode33
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode40
dc.titleAssessment of the vulnerability of a coastal freshwater system to climatic and non-climatic changes: A system dynamics approach
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
dcterms.licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.description.versionAccepted Manuscript (AM)
gro.facultyGriffith Sciences, School of Environment and Science
gro.rights.copyright© 2018 Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) which permits unrestricted, non-commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, providing that the work is properly cited.
gro.hasfulltextFull Text
gro.griffith.authorCapon, Samantha J.
gro.griffith.authorHadwen, Wade L.
gro.griffith.authorSahin, Oz
gro.griffith.authorSmart, Jim C.


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