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dc.contributor.authorRatnasiri, Shyama
dc.contributor.authorWalisinghe, Ranjika
dc.contributor.authorRohde, Nicholas
dc.contributor.authorGuest, Ross
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-23T04:27:49Z
dc.date.available2019-09-23T04:27:49Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.identifier.issn0003-6846
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/00036846.2019.1597253
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/387651
dc.description.abstractWe study the responsiveness of rice production to climatic variation using a recent pseudo-panel data set from Sri Lanka. Output per farm is modelled as a non-linear function of temperature and rainfall (and other standard controls) using fixed effects regressions. We find that both climatic variables have concave, non-monotonic effects upon production, and that output is close to maximized at current climatic values. This implies that variations in growing conditions are likely to have negative effects upon production. Random simulations are used to model these impacts under various climate change scenarios, and we find that increasing temperatures will adversely affect rice production much more than varying rainfall, although the effects of a small ceteris paribus rise in temperature are positive. As rice production is a key component in economic output for Sri Lanka and other developing countries, our results have implications for food policy and poverty management in the future.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherRoutledge
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom4700
dc.relation.ispartofpageto4710
dc.relation.ispartofissue43
dc.relation.ispartofjournalApplied Economics
dc.relation.ispartofvolume51
dc.subject.fieldofresearchApplied economics
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEconometrics
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEnvironment and resource economics
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode3801
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode3802
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode380105
dc.subject.keywordsSocial Sciences
dc.subject.keywordsEconomics
dc.subject.keywordsBusiness & Economics
dc.subject.keywordsClimatic variation
dc.subject.keywordsMonte Carlo simulation
dc.titleThe effects of climatic variation on rice production in Sri Lanka
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dcterms.bibliographicCitationRatnasiri, S; Walisinghe, R; Rohde, N; Guest, R, The effects of climatic variation on rice production in Sri Lanka, Applied Economics, 2019, 51 (43), pp. 4700-4710
dc.date.updated2019-09-23T04:26:06Z
gro.hasfulltextNo Full Text
gro.griffith.authorGuest, Ross
gro.griffith.authorRohde, Nicholas
gro.griffith.authorRatnasiri, Shyama G.


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