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dc.contributor.authorHabell, Jan C
dc.contributor.authorRasche, Livia
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Uwe A
dc.contributor.authorEngler, Jan O
dc.contributor.authorSchmid, Erwin
dc.contributor.authorRoedder, Dennis
dc.contributor.authorMeyer, Sebastian T
dc.contributor.authorTrapp, Natalie
dc.contributor.authordel Diego, Ruth Sos
dc.contributor.authorEggermont, Hilde
dc.contributor.authorLens, Luc
dc.contributor.authorStork, Nigel E
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-14T01:15:17Z
dc.date.available2020-01-14T01:15:17Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.identifier.issn1755-263X
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/conl.12668
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/390201
dc.description.abstractMost of Earth's biodiversity is found in 36 biodiversity hotspots, yet less than 10% natural intact vegetation remains. We calculated models projecting the future state of most of these hotspots for the year 2050, based on future climatic and agroeconomic pressure. Our models project an increasing demand for agricultural land resulting in the conversion of >50% of remaining natural intact vegetation in about one third of all hotspots, and in 2–6 hotspots resulting from climatic pressure. This confirms that, in the short term, habitat loss is of greater concern than climate change for hotspots and their biodiversity. Hotspots are most severely threatened in tropical Africa and parts of Asia, where demographic pressure and the demand for agricultural land is highest. The speed and magnitude of pristine habitat loss is, according to our models, much greater than previously shown when combining both scenarios on future climatic and agroeconomic pressure.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherWiley
dc.relation.ispartofissue6
dc.relation.ispartofjournalConservation Letters
dc.relation.ispartofvolume12
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEcology
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode0602
dc.subject.keywordsScience & Technology
dc.subject.keywordsLife Sciences & Biomedicine
dc.subject.keywordsBiodiversity Conservation
dc.subject.keywordsBiodiversity & Conservation
dc.subject.keywordsagricultural area expansion
dc.titleFinal countdown for biodiversity hotspots
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dcterms.bibliographicCitationHabell, JC; Rasche, L; Schneider, UA; Engler, JO; Schmid, E; Roedder, D; Meyer, ST; Trapp, N; del Diego, RS; Eggermont, H; Lens, L; Stork, NE, Final countdown for biodiversity hotspots, Conservation Letters, 2019, 12 (6)
dcterms.licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.date.updated2020-01-14T01:12:49Z
dc.description.versionVersion of Record (VoR)
gro.rights.copyright© 2019 The Authors. Conservation Letters published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
gro.hasfulltextFull Text
gro.griffith.authorStork, Nigel E.


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