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  • The dynamic effects of infectious disease outbreaks: The case of pandemic influenza and human coronavirus

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    Verikios441609Accepted.pdf (498.6Kb)
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    Accepted Manuscript (AM)
    Author(s)
    Verikios, George
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Verikios, George
    Year published
    2020
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    Abstract
    Pandemic influenza is a regularly recurring form of infectious disease; this work analyses its economic effects. Like many other infectious diseases influenza pandemics are usually of short, sharp duration. Human coronavirus is a less regularly recurring infectious disease. The human coronavirus pandemic of 2019 (COVID-19) has presented with seemingly high transmissibility and led to extraordinary socioeconomic disruption due to severe preventative measures by governments. To understand and compare these events, epidemiological and economic models are linked to capture the transmission of a pandemic from regional populations ...
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    Pandemic influenza is a regularly recurring form of infectious disease; this work analyses its economic effects. Like many other infectious diseases influenza pandemics are usually of short, sharp duration. Human coronavirus is a less regularly recurring infectious disease. The human coronavirus pandemic of 2019 (COVID-19) has presented with seemingly high transmissibility and led to extraordinary socioeconomic disruption due to severe preventative measures by governments. To understand and compare these events, epidemiological and economic models are linked to capture the transmission of a pandemic from regional populations to regional economies and then across regional economies. In contrast to past pandemics, COVID-19 is likely to be of longer duration and more severe in its economic effects given the greater uncertainty surrounding its nature. The analysis indicates how economies are likely to be affected due to the risk-modifying behaviour in the form of preventative measures taken in response to the latest novel pandemic virus.
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    Journal Title
    Socio-Economic Planning Sciences
    Volume
    71
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2020.100898
    Copyright Statement
    © 2020 Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence, which permits unrestricted, non-commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, providing that the work is properly cited.
    Subject
    Applied mathematics
    Urban and regional planning
    COVID-19
    Computable general equilibrium
    Human coronavirus
    Infectious diseases
    Pandemic influenza
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/397135
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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