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  • Developing a Preliminary Causal Loop Diagram for Understanding the Wicked Complexity of the COVID-19 Pandemic

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    Author(s)
    Sahin, Oz
    Salim, Hengky
    Suprun, Emiliya
    Richards, Russell
    MacAskill, Stefen
    Heilgeist, Simone
    Rutherford, Shannon
    Stewart, Rodney A
    Beal, Cara D
    Griffith University Author(s)
    MacAskill, Stefen A.
    Beal, Cara D.
    Sahin, Oz
    Stewart, Rodney A.
    Salim, Hengky K.
    Suprun, Emiliya
    Heilgeist, Simone N.
    Rutherford, Shannon
    Richards, Russell G.
    Year published
    2020
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract
    COVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The systems approach, however, enables policy makers to design the most effective strategies and reduce the unintended consequences. To achieve fundamental change, it is imperative to firstly identify the “right” interventions (leverage points) and implement additional measures to reduce negative consequences. To do so, a preliminary ...
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    COVID-19 is a wicked problem for policy makers internationally as the complexity of the pandemic transcends health, environment, social and economic boundaries. Many countries are focusing on two key responses, namely virus containment and financial measures, but fail to recognise other aspects. The systems approach, however, enables policy makers to design the most effective strategies and reduce the unintended consequences. To achieve fundamental change, it is imperative to firstly identify the “right” interventions (leverage points) and implement additional measures to reduce negative consequences. To do so, a preliminary causal loop diagram of the COVID-19 pandemic was designed to explore its influence on socio-economic systems. In order to transcend the “wait and see” approach, and create an adaptive and resilient system, governments need to consider “deep” leverage points that can be realistically maintained over the long-term and cause a fundamental change, rather than focusing on “shallow” leverage points that are relatively easy to implement but do not result in significant systemic change.
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    Journal Title
    Systems
    Volume
    8
    Issue
    2
    DOI
    https://doi.org/10.3390/systems8020020
    Copyright Statement
    © 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
    Subject
    Environmental Sciences
    Artificial Intelligence and Image Processing
    Information Systems
    Computer Software
    Social Sciences
    Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
    Social Sciences - Other Topics
    COVID-19
    pandemic
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/397827
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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