Intransitive preferences or choice errors? A reply to birnbaum

Butler, D

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Butler, D

Griffith University Author(s)

Butler, David

Year published

2020

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Abstract

Birnbaum (2020) reanalyses the data from Butler and Pogrebna (2018) using his ‘true and error’ test of choice patterns. His results generally support the evidence we presented in that paper. Here we reiterate the reasons for our agnosticism as to the direction any cycles might take, even though the paradox that motivated our study takes a ‘probable winner’ direction. We conclude by returning to the potential significance of predictably intransitive preferences for decision theory generally.Birnbaum (2020) reanalyses the data from Butler and Pogrebna (2018) using his ‘true and error’ test of choice patterns. His results generally support the evidence we presented in that paper. Here we reiterate the reasons for our agnosticism as to the direction any cycles might take, even though the paradox that motivated our study takes a ‘probable winner’ direction. We conclude by returning to the potential significance of predictably intransitive preferences for decision theory generally.
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Journal Title

Judgment and Decision Making

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Publisher URI

http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200216r/jdm200216r.html

Copyright Statement

© The Author(s) 2020. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia (CC BY 3. AU) License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. You are permitted to remix, transform, and CC-BY build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.

Subject

Decision making

Publication URI

http://hdl.handle.net/10072/400284

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Journal articles