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dc.contributor.authorShoo, Lucas
dc.contributor.authorE. Williams, Stephen
dc.contributor.authorHero, Jean-Marc
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-03T11:08:09Z
dc.date.available2017-05-03T11:08:09Z
dc.date.issued2005
dc.date.modified2010-08-03T09:04:52Z
dc.identifier.issn00063207
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.biocon.2005.04.003
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/4339
dc.description.abstractGlobal average surface temperatures have increased rapidly over the last 100 years and there is accumulating evidence that climate change is already causing shifts in species distributions. We use extensive abundance data and expected range shifts across altitudinal gradients to predict changes in total population size of rainforest birds of Australian tropical rainforests in response to climate warming. According to our most conservative model scenario, 74% of rainforest birds of north-eastern Australia are predicted to become threatened (including 26 critically endangered species) as a result of projected mid-range warming expected within the next 100 years. Extinction risk varies according to where along the altitudinal gradient a species is currently most abundant. Upland birds are most affected and are likely to be immediately threatened by even small increases in temperature. In contrast, there is a capacity for the population size of lowland species to increase, at least in the short term. We conclude that abundance data collected across climatic gradients will be fundamental to gaining an understanding of population size change associated with climate warming.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.description.publicationstatusYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.publisher.placeNetherlands
dc.relation.ispartofstudentpublicationN
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom335
dc.relation.ispartofpageto343
dc.relation.ispartofjournalBiological Conservation
dc.relation.ispartofvolume125
dc.rights.retentionY
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEnvironmental sciences
dc.subject.fieldofresearchBiological sciences
dc.subject.fieldofresearchAgricultural, veterinary and food sciences
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode41
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode31
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode30
dc.titleClimate warming and the rainforest birds of the Australian Wet Tropics: Using abundance data as a sensitive predictor of change in total population size
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
gro.facultyGriffith Sciences, Griffith School of Environment
gro.date.issued2005
gro.hasfulltextNo Full Text
gro.griffith.authorHero, Jean-Marc
gro.griffith.authorShoo, Lucas


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