Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorLoughran, Thomas A
dc.contributor.authorPogarsky, Greg
dc.contributor.authorPiquero, Alex R
dc.contributor.authorPaternoster, Raymond
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-03T12:00:11Z
dc.date.available2017-05-03T12:00:11Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.date.modified2013-08-22T23:19:44Z
dc.identifier.issn0741-8825
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/07418825.2011.583931
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/44647
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we explore the functional form of the risk-certainty effect for deterrence. Using a sample of serious youth offenders, we first estimate a simple linear model of the relationship between the perceived certainty of punishment and self-reported offending. Consistent with previous literature we 10 find evidence of a moderate deterrent effect. We then examined whether, consistent with a linear model, the effect of perceived risk is truly constant at different ranges of the risk continuum. Estimating a nonparametric regression model that makes no a priori assumption about the functional form of the model but allows the data itself to yield the appropriate functional form, we 15 found marked departures from linearity. Our examination showed evidence of both a tipping effect, whereby perceived risk deters only when it reaches a certain threshold (between an estimated risk of .3 and .4) and a substantially accelerated deterrent effect for individuals at the high end of the risk contin- uum. Perceived sanction threats did, however, have a non-trivial deterrent 20 effect within the mid-range of risk. The implications of our findings for both theory and additional research are discussed.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.description.publicationstatusYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherRoutledge
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdom
dc.relation.ispartofstudentpublicationN
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom712
dc.relation.ispartofpageto741
dc.relation.ispartofissue5
dc.relation.ispartofjournalJustice Quarterly
dc.relation.ispartofvolume29
dc.rights.retentionY
dc.subject.fieldofresearchCauses and Prevention of Crime
dc.subject.fieldofresearchCriminology
dc.subject.fieldofresearchLaw
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode160201
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode1602
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode1801
dc.titleRe-Examining the Functional Form of the Certainty Effect in Deterrence Theory
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
gro.date.issued2012
gro.hasfulltextNo Full Text
gro.griffith.authorPiquero, Alex R.


Files in this item

FilesSizeFormatView

There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

  • Journal articles
    Contains articles published by Griffith authors in scholarly journals.

Show simple item record