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dc.contributor.authorHernandez, A.
dc.contributor.authorSanso, B.
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-03T13:12:46Z
dc.date.available2017-05-03T13:12:46Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.date.modified2012-07-27T03:32:15Z
dc.identifier.issn03781844
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/45396
dc.description.abstractA potential climate change might also bring changes in the extreme characteristics of most climatic variables, particularly on rainfall. Modeling extreme rainfall behavior is important due to the impact of natural hazards on highly vulnerable zones. In this regard, and within the framework of the classical extreme theory, the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) model is proposed for the study of the behavior of extreme rainfall events in Venezuela. A Bayesian approach was used to estimate model parameters and to make predictive inference of the GEV model. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods were used to get samples from the posterior distributions of the GEV model parameters. Numerical results are presented for six locations in Venezuela representing different mesoclimate types: La Mariposa (Miranda State); San Francisco de Macanao (Nueva Esparta State); Villa El Rosario (Zulia State); Machiques (Zulia State); Carora (Lara State); and San Carlos de R�Negro (Amazonas State). Simulations from the predictive distribution suggest that the Fr 飨et and Gumbel models are more appropriate to represent the annual maxima in most of the study locations; however, in locations with extreme conditions within arid or highly humid mesoclimates, the Weibull model is more appropriate to represent annual rainfall maxima.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.description.publicationstatusYes
dc.format.extent740451 bytes
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherInterciencia Association
dc.publisher.placeVenezuela
dc.publisher.urihttp://www.interciencia.org/v36_03/index.html
dc.relation.ispartofstudentpublicationN
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom185
dc.relation.ispartofpageto191
dc.relation.ispartofissue3
dc.relation.ispartofjournalInterciencia: journal of science and technology of the Americas
dc.relation.ispartofvolume36
dc.rights.retentionY
dc.subject.fieldofresearchClimatology (excl. Climate Change Processes)
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode040105
dc.titleCaracteristicas de la precipitacion extrema en algunas localidades de Venezuela
dc.title.alternativeExtreme rainfall characteristics at some location s in Venezuela
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
gro.rights.copyright© 2011 Interciencia Association. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the journal's website for access to the definitive, published version.
gro.date.issued2011
gro.hasfulltextFull Text
gro.griffith.authorGuenni, Lelys


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