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  • Systems Thinking 1.0 and Systems Thinking 2.0: Complexity science and a new conception of "cause"

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    Author(s)
    Dekker, Sidney
    Griffith University Author(s)
    Dekker, Sidney
    Year published
    2011
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    Abstract
    Our understanding and investigation of accidents in aviation is dominated by a mechanistic worldview that seeks to find and fix broken parts. Even though "systems thinking" has become quite fashionable over the past two decades, this still often reduces to finding broken parts further away in space and time from the accident. This is Systems Thinking 1.0. In contrast, complexity science, and its new conception of "cause," offers a route to Systems Thinking 2.0. In this, investigators and managers can be made aware of the consequences of path-dependency, open systems, the asymmetry between small inputs and large effects, and ...
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    Our understanding and investigation of accidents in aviation is dominated by a mechanistic worldview that seeks to find and fix broken parts. Even though "systems thinking" has become quite fashionable over the past two decades, this still often reduces to finding broken parts further away in space and time from the accident. This is Systems Thinking 1.0. In contrast, complexity science, and its new conception of "cause," offers a route to Systems Thinking 2.0. In this, investigators and managers can be made aware of the consequences of path-dependency, open systems, the asymmetry between small inputs and large effects, and the unpredictability of efforts to control or regulate complexity. This paper uses a case study to compare Systems Thinking 1.0 and 2.0 and develop the latter.
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    Journal Title
    Aviation in Focus
    Volume
    2
    Issue
    2
    Publisher URI
    http://revistaseletronicas.pucrs.br/ojs/index.php/aviation/article/viewArticle/9589
    Copyright Statement
    © The Author(s) 2011. For information about this journal please refer to the publisher’s website or contact the author. Articles are licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted, non-commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, providing that the work is properly cited. See http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/
    Subject
    Cognitive Sciences not elsewhere classified
    Transportation and Freight Services
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/45644
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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