Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorLeggett, Mark
dc.contributor.authorBall, David
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-03T11:19:46Z
dc.date.available2017-05-03T11:19:46Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.date.modified2012-08-09T00:10:20Z
dc.identifier.issn03014215
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.enpol.2011.11.022
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/46133
dc.description.abstractClimate change, and more recently, the risk of fossil fuel production being unable to keep pace with demand (peak fossil fuel) are both considered as risks to civilisation, or global risks. In an initial empirical analysis, this paper attempts to answer the following questions, which have often been posed but have not, to our knowledge, been answered empirically at global level. At which date, if unaddressed, will the risks become critical? Given that the substitution of fossil fuels by wind and solar energy is often proposed as a solution to these problems, what is its current aggregate growth rate and is there a plausible future growth rate which would substitute it for fossil fuels before the risks become critical? The study finds that the peak fossil fuel risk will start to be critical by 2020. If however the future growth rate of wind and solar energy production follows that already achieved for the world mobile phone system or the Chinese National Expressway Network the peak fossil fuel risk can be prevented completely. For global warming, the same growth rate provides significant mitigation by reducing carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels to zero by the early 2030s.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.description.publicationstatusYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.publisher.placeUnited Kingdom
dc.relation.ispartofstudentpublicationN
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom610
dc.relation.ispartofpageto617
dc.relation.ispartofjournalEnergy Policy
dc.relation.ispartofvolume41
dc.rights.retentionY
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEnvironment and Resource Economics
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode140205
dc.titleThe implications for climate change and peak fossil fuel of the continuation of the current trend in wind and solar energy production
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
gro.facultyArts, Education & Law Group, Key Centre for Ethics, Law, Justice and Governance
gro.date.issued2012
gro.hasfulltextNo Full Text
gro.griffith.authorLeggett, Mark


Files in this item

FilesSizeFormatView

There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

  • Journal articles
    Contains articles published by Griffith authors in scholarly journals.

Show simple item record