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  • Command without Control? Nuclear Crisis Instability on the Korean Peninsula

    Author(s)
    O'Neil, A
    Griffith University Author(s)
    O'Neil, Andrew K.
    Year published
    2014
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract
    Purpose-To assess the prospects for managing crises on the Korean Peninsula. Design/methodology/approach-This article investigates North Korea's nuclear behavior using theories of crisis instability, which focus on the actual or perceived incentives of a nuclear weapon state to strike first during a crisis. Findings-Pyongyang's embryonic command and control capabilities mean that rapid escalation to full-scale conflict is a greater prospect than generally acknowledged. Practical implications-This raises questions about the ability of protagonists to avoid escalation resulting from miscalculation in future crises on the ...
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    Purpose-To assess the prospects for managing crises on the Korean Peninsula. Design/methodology/approach-This article investigates North Korea's nuclear behavior using theories of crisis instability, which focus on the actual or perceived incentives of a nuclear weapon state to strike first during a crisis. Findings-Pyongyang's embryonic command and control capabilities mean that rapid escalation to full-scale conflict is a greater prospect than generally acknowledged. Practical implications-This raises questions about the ability of protagonists to avoid escalation resulting from miscalculation in future crises on the Korean Peninsula and has implications for policy makers in devising strategies to deter North Korea from undertaking behavior that risks escalation while reassuring elites in Pyongyang. Originality/value-The article contributes to the literature on nuclear proliferation by challenging overly optimistic assumptions about the behavior of new nuclear powers and it adds value to thinking about how miscalculation during crises on the Korean Peninsula can be avoided.
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    Journal Title
    North Korean Review
    Volume
    10
    Issue
    1
    Publisher URI
    https://mcfarlandbooks.com/product/north-korean-review-vol-10-no-1-spring-2014/
    Copyright Statement
    Self-archiving of the author-manuscript version is not yet supported by this journal. Please refer to the journal link for access to the definitive, published version or contact the authors for more information.
    Subject
    International relations
    Publication URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10072/65559
    Collection
    • Journal articles

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