Chinese Lunar New Year effect in Asian stock markets, 1999–2012
Author(s)
Yuan, T
Gupta, R
Griffith University Author(s)
Year published
2014
Metadata
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This study investigates the Chinese Lunar New Year (CLNY) holiday effect in major Asian stock markets. These are China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan. For robustness test, India is also examined in this paper. Daily stock index returns for each market are analysed for the period of 01/09/1999 to 28/03/2012. Using an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH (1,1) model, we find that there is a significantly positive pre-CLNY holiday effect for all cases. The findings are robust for most cases with the exception of China. It is found that high pre-CLNY returns for China are rewards for high risk, whereas for the other markets, ...
View more >This study investigates the Chinese Lunar New Year (CLNY) holiday effect in major Asian stock markets. These are China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan. For robustness test, India is also examined in this paper. Daily stock index returns for each market are analysed for the period of 01/09/1999 to 28/03/2012. Using an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH (1,1) model, we find that there is a significantly positive pre-CLNY holiday effect for all cases. The findings are robust for most cases with the exception of China. It is found that high pre-CLNY returns for China are rewards for high risk, whereas for the other markets, high returns are caused by unknown factors, other than the conditional risk.
View less >
View more >This study investigates the Chinese Lunar New Year (CLNY) holiday effect in major Asian stock markets. These are China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea and Taiwan. For robustness test, India is also examined in this paper. Daily stock index returns for each market are analysed for the period of 01/09/1999 to 28/03/2012. Using an ARMA(1,1)-GARCH (1,1) model, we find that there is a significantly positive pre-CLNY holiday effect for all cases. The findings are robust for most cases with the exception of China. It is found that high pre-CLNY returns for China are rewards for high risk, whereas for the other markets, high returns are caused by unknown factors, other than the conditional risk.
View less >
Journal Title
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
Volume
54
Issue
4
Subject
Economics
Commerce, management, tourism and services
Investment and risk management