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dc.contributor.authorPorfirio, Luciana L
dc.contributor.authorHarris, Rebecca MB
dc.contributor.authorStojanovic, Dejan
dc.contributor.authorWebb, Mathew H
dc.contributor.authorMackey, Brendan
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-15T05:41:27Z
dc.date.available2018-10-15T05:41:27Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.issn0158-4197
dc.identifier.doi10.1071/MU15094
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10072/99890
dc.description.abstractAssessing future changes in the suitability of the climate niche for interacting species across different trophic levels can identify direct and indirect effects of climate change that may be missed using single-species approaches. We use ensembles of species distribution models based on a dynamically down-scaled regional climate model to project the future suitability of climate for the Swift Parrot (Lathamus discolor), its primary food and habitat resources (Tasmanian Blue Gum (Eucalyptus globulus) and Swamp Gum (E. ovata)), and an introduced nest predator, the Sugar Glider (Petaurus breviceps). These results are combined with layers representing mature forest and fire danger to identify locations that may act as refuges for the Swift Parrot from fire, deforestation and predation under baseline and future climates. Almost a quarter of the nesting habitat of Swift Parrots is projected to become climatically unsuitable by the end of the 21st century, but large areas may remain climatically suitable for both Swift Parrots and their food trees. However, loss of forests and the presence of Sugar Gliders are likely to limit the availability of high-quality habitat. Offshore islands that the Sugar Glider is unable to colonise or where future climate is not projected to be suitable for the Sugar Glider may be the only places, in the near future, where the Swift Parrot will be protected from nest predation by this introduced species.
dc.description.peerreviewedYes
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherCSIRO Publishing
dc.relation.ispartofpagefrom273
dc.relation.ispartofpageto283
dc.relation.ispartofissue3
dc.relation.ispartofjournalEmu: Austral Ornithology
dc.relation.ispartofvolume116
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEcological Impacts of Climate Change
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEnvironmental Science and Management
dc.subject.fieldofresearchEcology
dc.subject.fieldofresearchZoology
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode050101
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode0502
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode0602
dc.subject.fieldofresearchcode0608
dc.titleProjected direct and indirect effects of climate change on the Swift Parrot, an endangered migratory species
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.descriptionC1 - Articles
dc.type.codeC - Journal Articles
gro.hasfulltextNo Full Text
gro.griffith.authorMackey, Brendan


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