East-coast Australian gas markets—Overcoming the lumpiness of capital allocation and temporal instability

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
File version
Author(s)
Nelson, T
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2018
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract

Australia's east-coast gas market has undergone significant transformation in the past decade. The discovery of non-conventional coal-seam gas reserves led to investment in three ‘lumpy’ LNG export facilities in Gladstone, Queensland. Drilling activity has subsequently slowed, a direct result of a soft global price for LNG. This slowdown, in an environment of a tripling of east-coast gas demand, has resulted in concerns about domestic gas shortages. To be clear, there is no lack of gas resources. Instead, the problem relates to the relative lumpiness of capital allocation and temporal instability driven by changing global circumstances. Utilising a simple partial equilibrium model, various options for overcoming these problems are analysed. Of these options, developing import infrastructure appears to be a ‘no regrets’ option that would ensure that the price floor, the LNG netback price, also becomes the market price cap.

Journal Title

Economic Analysis and Policy

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

59

Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

© 2018 Economic Society of Australia, Queensland. Published by Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) which permits unrestricted, non-commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, providing that the work is properly cited.

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Economics

Applied economics

Econometrics

Economic theory

Persistent link to this record
Citation
Collections