Do foreign investors have a positive impact on the domestic government bonds market? A panel pooled mean group approach

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
File version

Accepted Manuscript (AM)

Author(s)
Conterius, Simeon
Akimov, Alexandr
Su, Jen-Je
Roca, Eduardo
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2023
Size
File type(s)
Location
Abstract

This study examines foreign investors’ impact on the domestic government bond market's yield and volatility by employing a pooled mean group (PMG) approach. The study uses the panel data of 38 countries from 2004 to 2018. The study finds that in the whole sample and the sub-set of developing countries, both in the long and short run, a large proportion of foreign investors is associated with a reduction in domestic government bond yields. However, an analysis of foreign investment's effect on the bond yield's volatility brought significant results only in the short run, while there is no substantial evidence of any long-run effects. The PMG methodology in this study allows differentiation between the long- and short-run relationships between foreign ownership and bond yield and yield volatility. Our sample allows the analysis and comparison of these relationships in developed and developing countries. We further apply nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) to test for potential asymmetry in the relationship, which has not been done in other studies.

Journal Title

Economic Analysis and Policy

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

77

Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

© 2023. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Applied economics

Econometrics

Economic theory

Social Sciences

Economics

Business & Economics

Foreign holdings

Bond market

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Conterius, S; Akimov, A; Su, J-J; Roca, E, Do foreign investors have a positive impact on the domestic government bonds market? A panel pooled mean group approach, Economic Analysis and Policy, 2023, 77, pp. 863-875

Collections