2017-09: Subprime mortgages and banking in a DSGE model (Working paper)
File version
Author(s)
Tirelli, Patrizio
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Rohde, Nicholas
Naranpanawa, Athula
Date
Size
40 pages
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
Can a DSGE model replicate the nancial crisis eects without assuming unprecedented and implausibly large shocks? Starting from the assumption that the subprime crisis triggered the nancial crisis, we introduce balance-sheet eects for housing market borrowers and for commercial banks in an otherwise standard DSGE model. Our crisis experiment is initiated by a shock to subprime lending risk, which is calibrated to match the observed increase in subprime delinquency rates. Due to contagion of prime borrowers and to the ensuing adverse effect on banks balance sheets, this apparently small shock is sufficient to trigger a decline in housing investment comparable to what was observed during the nancial crisis. The adverse effect of sub-primers risk on commercial banks' agency problem is a crucial driver of our results.
Journal Title
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
DOI
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Copyright © 2010 by author(s). No part of this paper may be reproduced in any form, or stored in a retrieval system, without prior permission of the author(s).
Item Access Status
Note
Economics and Business Statistics
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
R31 - Housing Supply and Markets
G01 - Financial Crises
E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Housing
Mortgage default
subprime risk
DSGE.