Application of a risk-guided strategy to secondary prevention of coronary heart disease: analysis from a state-wide data linkage in Queensland, Australia

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Huynh, Quan L
Nghiem, Son
Byrnes, Joshua
Scuffham, Paul A
Marwick, Thomas
Griffith University Author(s)
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2022
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Abstract

Objective This study sought whether higher risk patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) benefit more from intensive disease management. Design Longitudinal cohort study. Setting State-wide public hospitals (Queensland, Australia). Participants This longitudinal study included 20 426 patients hospitalised in 2010 with CHD as the principal diagnosis. Patients were followed-up for 5 years. Primary and secondary outcomes and measures The primary outcome was days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) within 5 years of hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes included all-cause readmission and all-cause mortality. A previously developed and validated risk score (PEGASUS-TIMI54) was used to estimate the risk of secondary events. Data on sociodemography, comorbidity, interventions and medications were also collected. Results High-risk patients (n=6573, risk score ≥6) had fewer DAOH (=-142 days (95% CI: -152 to -131)), and were more likely to readmit or die (all p<0.001) than their low-risk counterparts (n=13 367, risk score <6). Compared with patients who were never prescribed a medication, those who consumed maximal dose of betablockers ( =39 days (95% CI: 11 to 67)), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers ( =74 days (95% CI: 49 to 99)) or statins ( =109 days (95% CI: 90 to 128)) had significantly greater DAOH. Patients who received percutaneous coronary intervention ( =99 days (95% CI: 81 to 116)) or coronary artery bypass grafting ( =120 days (95% CI: 92 to 148)) also had significantly greater DAOH than those who did not. The effect sizes of these therapies were significantly greater in high-risk patients, compared with low-risk patients (interaction p<0.001). Analysis of secondary outcomes also found significant interaction between both medical and interventional therapies with readmission and death, implicating greater benefits for high-risk patients. Conclusions CHD patients can be effectively risk-stratified, and use of this information for a risk-guided strategy to prioritise high-risk patients may maximise benefits from additional resources spent on intensive disease management.

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BMJ Open

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12

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5

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NHMRC

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GNT1136923

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© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

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Biomedical and clinical sciences

Health sciences

Psychology

Science & Technology

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Medicine, General & Internal

General & Internal Medicine

ischaemic heart disease

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Huynh, QL; Nghiem, S; Byrnes, J; Scuffham, PA; Marwick, T, Application of a risk-guided strategy to secondary prevention of coronary heart disease: analysis from a state-wide data linkage in Queensland, Australia, BMJ Open, 2022, 12 (5), pp. e057856

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