Triformer: Triangular, Variable-Specific Attentions for Long Sequence Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
File version
Version of Record (VoR)
Author(s)
Guo, C
Yang, B
Kieu, T
Dong, X
Pan, S
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
Vienna, Austria
License
Abstract
A variety of real-world applications rely on far future information to make decisions, thus calling for efficient and accurate long sequence multivariate time series forecasting. While recent attention-based forecasting models show strong abilities in capturing long-term dependencies, they still suffer from two key limitations. First, canonical self attention has a quadratic complexity w.r.t. the input time series length, thus falling short in efficiency. Second, different variables' time series often have distinct temporal dynamics, which existing studies fail to capture, as they use the same model parameter space, e.g., projection matrices, for all variables' time series, thus falling short in accuracy. To ensure high efficiency and accuracy, we propose Triformer, a triangular, variable-specific attention. (i) Linear complexity: we introduce a novel patch attention with linear complexity. When stacking multiple layers of the patch attentions, a triangular structure is proposed such that the layer sizes shrink exponentially, thus maintaining linear complexity. (ii) Variable-specific parameters: we propose a light-weight method to enable distinct sets of model parameters for different variables' time series to enhance accuracy without compromising efficiency and memory usage. Strong empirical evidence on four datasets from multiple domains justifies our design choices, and it demonstrates that Triformer outperforms state-of-the-art methods w.r.t. both accuracy and efficiency. Source code is publicly available at https://github.com/razvanc92/triformer.
Journal Title
Conference Title
Proceedings of the Thirty-First International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-22)
Book Title
Edition
Volume
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
© 2022 International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the Conference's website for access to the definitive, published version.
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Artificial intelligence
Time-series analysis
Persistent link to this record
Citation
Cirstea, RG; Guo, C; Yang, B; Kieu, T; Dong, X; Pan, S, Triformer: Triangular, Variable-Specific Attentions for Long Sequence Multivariate Time Series Forecasting, Proceedings of the Thirty-First International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-22), 2022, pp. 1994-2001