Adapting Coasts to Climatic Futures. An Australian Perspective
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Author(s)
Baum, S
Bussey, M
Carter, B
Crick, F
Golshani, A
Choy, DL
Richards, R
Roiko, A
Serrao-Neumann, S
Splinter, K
Smith, T
Tomlinson, R
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Patrick Lynett and Jane McKee Smith
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Santander, Spain
Abstract
In coastal management under climatic pressures, the final aim of vulnerability assessments, system thinking or scenario planning exercises is to inform the identification of the most appropriate adaptation options for communities under risk of coastal hazards and climate change. In this paper we show how we combined these techniques for coastal settlements adaptation in South East Queensland, one of the most populated Australian regions, including: (i) the use of suburb-level mapping and numerical modelling to identify and assess vulnerability hotspots (ii) the development and testing of systems thinking and bayesian modelling techniques to explore adaptation pathways and the adaptive capacity of coastal communities and (iii) the use of scenario planning techniques to test adaptation options in an uncertain future. We show how these outcomes were used to develop a range of research-based adaptation policies, programs and actions and to inform the preparation of practical guidance for councils across Queensland.
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Proceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference
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© The Author(s) 2012. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0) License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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Subject
Climate change processes
Other engineering not elsewhere classified
Urban and regional planning not elsewhere classified