Exploring the determinants of the 2023 Quebec, Canada, mega-wildfire burn severity

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
File version

Version of Record (VoR)

Author(s)
Mackey, Brendan
Bhatt, Tek Raj
Norman, Patrick
DellaSala, Dominick
Rogers, Brendan M
Hugh, Sonia
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2025
Size
File type(s)
Location
Abstract

Background The 2023 Quebec wildfires in Canada attracted international attention, affecting 4.5 M ha of boreal forest.

Aims We investigated if causal factors could be identified that explained spatial variation in the wildfire burn severity of the Quebec 2023 wildfires.

Methods We conducted a series of Boosted Regression Tree (BRT) models to investigate if the spatial distribution of the within-fire burn severity index could be attributed to climatic, vegetation and topographic variables.

Key results The most important model variables were Topographic Wetness Index (TWI) (relative contribution 40%), Fire Weather Index (FWI) (relative contribution 23%), Topographic Position Index (TPI) (relative contribution 14%), forest age (relative contribution 14%) and vegetation type (relative contribution 9%). Higher burn severities were associated with larger FWI values, smaller TWI and TPI values, and forest age circa 20–40 years.

Conclusions The model variables influence burn severity by the moisture content and flammability of plant biomass. Forest management is implicated indirectly through the accumulated impacts of harvesting which have skewered age class distributions toward younger forests.

Implications Given projected worsening fire weather conditions, it is prudent to consider how forest management can be modified by, among other things, protecting and restoring depleted older forest age classes within the forest management zone.

Journal Title

International Journal of Wildland Fire

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

34

Issue

12

Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

© 2025 The Author(s) (or their employer(s)). Published by CSIRO Publishing on behalf of IAWF. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND)

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Terrestrial ecology

Fire ecology

Forestry sciences

Environmental management

Human geography

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Mackey, B; Bhatt, TR; Norman, P; DellaSala, D; Rogers, BM; Hugh, S, Exploring the determinants of the 2023 Quebec, Canada, mega-wildfire burn severity, International Journal of Wildland Fire, 2025, 34 (12), pp. WF24175

Collections