Evaluation of the effects of temperature changes on fine timescale rainfall

No Thumbnail Available
File version
Author(s)
Gyasi-Agyei, Yeboah
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2013
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract

An enhanced copula-based daily rainfall disaggregation model is presented. The rainfall data are grouped into maximum daily temperature quantiles instead of the usual monthly grouping in order to account for seasonal temperature shifts. Empirical and statistical evidence provided supports the conditioning of the model parameters on temperature. Linkage of the major model parameters to maximum daily temperature allows easy evaluation of temperature changes on fine timescale rainfall statistics. Rainfall data sets for three Australian capital cities located in different climatic regions were used to test the applicability of the presented model. It is observed that statistics such as the total wet periods' duration, storm event duration, and the autocorrelations decrease with increase in temperature, while the maximum wet period depth, variance, skewness, and the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) show an increasing trend with temperature. Considering the 24 h wet day rainfall data sets, a 1°C rise in temperature could cause rates of change, depending on the climate (lowest rates for cool temperate zones and highest for the hot tropics), of 2%-14% in the total wet periods' duration, 5%-16% in variance, 10%-30% in skewness, 5%-9% in maximum period depth (including IDF), and 4%-25% in autocorrelations. Simulating single events of varying depths, and using temperature values spanning the spectrum of the recorded data for the capital cities, the average rates were 2%-12% for duration (and total wet periods' duration), 10%-26% for variance, 20%-32% for skewness and 1%-20% for the autocorrelations, all of which match the 24 h wet day results very well. ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

Journal Title

Water Resources Research

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

49

Issue

7

Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Physical geography and environmental geoscience

Civil engineering

Environmental engineering

Science & Technology

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Physical Sciences

Limnology

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Gyasi-Agyei, Y, Evaluation of the effects of temperature changes on fine timescale rainfall, Water Resources Research, 2013, 49 (7), pp. 4379-4398

Collections