Prediction nomogram development and validation for postoperative radiotherapy in the management of oral squamous cell carcinoma

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Liu, Timothy PJ
David, Michael
Clark, Jonathan RR
Low, Tsu-Hui Hubert
Batstone, Martin DD
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2023
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Abstract

Background: Predictive nomograms are useful tools to guide clinicians in estimating disease course. Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients would benefit from an interactive prediction calculator that defines their levels of survival-risk specific to their tumors to guide the use of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT). Methods: Patients with OSCC surgically treated with curative intent at four Head and Neck Cancer Centres were recruited retrospectively for development and validation of nomograms. Predictor variables include PORT, age, T and N classification, surgical margins, perineural invasion, and lymphovascular invasion. Outcomes were disease-free, disease-specific, and overall survivals over 5 years. Results: 1296 patients with OSCC were in training cohort for nomogram analysis. Algorithms were developed to show relative benefit of PORT in survivals for higher-risk patients. External validation on 1212 patients found the nomogram to be robust with favorable discrimination and calibration. Conclusion: The proposed calculator can assist clinicians and patients in the decision-making process for PORT.

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Head & Neck

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45

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6

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Oncology and carcinogenesis

Oral medicine and pathology

Clinical sciences

Dentistry

Science & Technology

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Otorhinolaryngology

Surgery

nomograms

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Liu, TPJ; David, M; Clark, JRR; Low, T-HH; Batstone, MDD, Prediction nomogram development and validation for postoperative radiotherapy in the management of oral squamous cell carcinoma, Head & Neck, 2023, 45 (6), pp. 1503-1510

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