The Avoidable Health Burden and Healthcare Costs Related to Alcohol Consumption in Australia: Multistate Life Table Modelling
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Cobiac, Linda
Shahid, Mishel
Malawige, Amila
Aminde, Leopold
Al Subhi, Moosa
Nguyen, Phuong
Angeles, Mary Rose
Ananthapavan, Jaithri
Veerman, Lennert
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Abstract
This study used The Alcohol Policy model (TAP), a newly-developed proportional multi-state lifetable model, to estimate the avoidable alcohol-related disease, injury and healthcare cost burden in the Australian adult population (aged ≥ 15 years). The model base year was 2020. Changes in alcohol consumption were modelled to lead to changes in incident cases and mortality from alcohol-related diseases and injuries, long-term health outcomes summarized as health adjusted life years (HALYs), and healthcare costs. No discounting was applied. Over 25 years, elimination of alcohol consumption could prevent 25.9 million cases of disease and injury (23.1 million from acute causes) and avert 211,697 deaths, the majority of which would be from cancers (114,948). This translated to 5.1 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 4.0 to 6.2) million HALYs gained and Australian dollars (AU
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International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction
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© The Author(s) 2025. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
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Wanjau, MN; Cobiac, L; Shahid, M; Malawige, A; Aminde, L; Al Subhi, M; Nguyen, P; Angeles, MR; Ananthapavan, J; Veerman, L, The Avoidable Health Burden and Healthcare Costs Related to Alcohol Consumption in Australia: Multistate Life Table Modelling, International Journal of Mental Health and Addiction, 2025