PRIMEtime CE: A multistate life table model for estimating the cost-effectiveness of interventions affecting diet and physical activity
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Cobiac, LJ
Wolstenholme, J
Scarborough, P
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Background: Non-communicable diseases are the leading cause of death in England, and poor diet and physical inactivity are two of the principle behavioural risk factors. In the context of increasingly constrained financial resources, decision makers in England need to be able to compare the potential costs and health outcomes of different public health policies aimed at improving these risk factors in order to know where to invest so that they can maximise population health. This paper describes PRIMEtime CE, a multistate life table cost-effectiveness model that can directly compare interventions affecting multiple disease outcomes. Methods: The multistate life table model, PRIMEtime Cost Effectiveness (PRIMEtime CE), is developed from the Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl (PRIME) and the PRIMEtime model. PRIMEtime CE uses routinely available data to estimate how changing diet and physical activity in England affects morbidity and mortality from heart disease, stroke, diabetes, liver disease, and cancers either directly or via raised blood pressure, cholesterol, and body weight. Results: Model outcomes are change in quality adjusted life years, and change in English National Health Service and social care costs. Conclusion: This paper describes PRIMEtime CE and highlights its main strengths and limitations. The model can be used to compare any number of public policies affecting diet and physical activity, allowing decision makers to understand how they can maximise population health with limited financial resources.
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BMC Health Services Research
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19
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1
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© The Author(s). 2019. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
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Library and information studies
Nursing
Public health
Health services and systems
Diet
Economic modelling
Modelling
Non-communicable disease
Physical activity
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Briggs, ADM; Cobiac, LJ; Wolstenholme, J; Scarborough, P, PRIMEtime CE: A multistate life table model for estimating the cost-effectiveness of interventions affecting diet and physical activity, BMC Health Services Research, 2019, 19 (1), pp. 485