Lite approaches for long-range multi-step water quality prediction
File version
Version of Record (VoR)
Author(s)
Newton, MA Hakim
Trevathan, Jarrod
Sattar, Abdul
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
Abstract
Forecasting accurate water quality is very important in aquaculture, environment monitoring, and many other applications. Many internal and external factors influence water quality. Therefore, water quality parameters exhibit complex time series characteristics. Consequently, long-range accurate prediction of water quality parameters suffers from poor propagation of information from past timepoints to further future timepoints. Moreover, to synchronise the prediction model with the changes in the time series characteristics, periodic retraining of the prediction model is required and such retraining is to be done on resource-restricted computation devices. In this work, we present a low-cost training approach to improve long-range multi-step water quality prediction. We train a short-range predictor to save training effort. Then, we strive to achieve and/or improve long-range prediction using multi-step iterative ensembling during inference. Experimental results on 9 water quality datasets demonstrate that the proposed method achieves significantly lower error than the existing state-of-the-art approaches. Our approach significantly outperforms the existing approaches in several standard metrics, even in the case of future timepoints at long distances.
Journal Title
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
ARC
Grant identifier(s)
LP190101083�
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
© The Author(s) 2024. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Item Access Status
Note
This publication has been entered in Griffith Research Online as an advance online version.
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Environmental sciences
Engineering
Mathematical sciences
Persistent link to this record
Citation
Islam, MKB; Newton, MAH; Trevathan, J; Sattar, A, Lite approaches for long-range multi-step water quality prediction, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2024