2012-04: The curse of being landlocked: Institutions rather than trade (Working paper)

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Carmignani, Fabrizio
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Nguyen, Tom

Date
2012
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33 pages

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Abstract

The prevailing view in policy circles is that landlockedness is bad for development because it reduces trade. This paper shows that other channels of transmission are likely to be important and, possibly, quantitatively larger and statistically stronger than the trade channel. One such channel is the quality of institutions. Using a system of structural equations and different estimators, the paper finds that landlockedness negatively affects the quality of institutions, which is in turn a fundamental determinant of per-capita income. By comparison, the evidence in support of the trade channel is surprisingly mild.

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Copyright © 2010 by author(s). No part of this paper may be reproduced in any form, or stored in a retrieval system, without prior permission of the author(s).

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Economics and Business Statistics

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C31 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Inte

O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

F15 - Economic Integration

Landlocked

income

trade

institutions

system of equations

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