The Australian Housing Market: Price Dynamics and Capital Stock Growth

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Primary Supervisor

Selvanathan, Saroja

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Sing, Tarlock

Selvanathan, Anthony

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Date
2008
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Abstract

This study was motivated by the desire to contribute to the understanding of the movement of house prices and the role of the so-called economic ‘fundamentals’ in the housing market, especially within an Australian context. The core objective of this thesis is to aid understanding of the economic and other mechanisms by which the Australian housing market operates. We do this by constructing an analytical framework, or model, that encompasses the most important characteristics of the housing market. This thesis examines two important aspects of the Australian housing market: movements of house prices and changes in the net capital stock of dwellings in Australia. Movements of house prices are modelled from two perspectives: firstly, using the ‘fundamental’ approach, which explains the phenomena by changes in such ‘fundamental’ explanatory variables as income, interest rates, population and prices of building materials, and secondly, by analysing spatial interdependence of house prices in Australian capital cities. Changes in stock of dwellings were also modelled on the basis of a ‘fundamental’ approach by states and for Australia as a whole.

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Thesis (PhD Doctorate)

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Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

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Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics

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The author owns the copyright in this thesis, unless stated otherwise.

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Subject

Australian housing market

price dynamics

capital stock growth

housing market

Australia

error-correction mechanism

ECM

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