Does the Money Multiplier Hold in Pacific Island Countries? The Case of Papua New Guinea

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Ofoi, Mark
Sharma, Parmendra
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2021
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Abstract

This is the first study to systematically assess the significance of the standard money multiplier vis-à-vis the bank credit transmission channel in the case of Pacific Island Economies, focusing on Papua New Guinea. The vector autoregressive model comprising six variables—interest rate, inflation rate, loans, deposits, reserve money, and real output—was estimated using quarterly data for the period 1980q1 to 2017q4. We applied the ordinary least squares (OLS) method to estimate the system of vector autoregressions (VARs). The estimation was conducted for the full and sub-sample periods. From the impulse response functions generated, the results suggest that the money multiplier does not hold and that the transmission to bank credit appears weak. It seems that the ability of the Central Bank to make loanable funds available through its conduct of monetary policy may not enhance private sector credit. On the other hand, there appears to be a significant and positive association between bank deposits and credit, suggesting that bank deposits and credit are endogenous and demand driven. View Full-Text

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Journal of Risk and Financial Management

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14

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9

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© 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Applied economics

Banking, finance and investment

Social Sciences

Business, Finance

Business & Economics

monetary policy

money multiplier

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Ofoi, M; Sharma, P, Does the Money Multiplier Hold in Pacific Island Countries? The Case of Papua New Guinea, Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2021, 14 (9), pp. 449

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