2015-03: Agricultural productivity and pro-poor regional growth: A computable general equilibrium analysis of India (Working paper)
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Rohde, Nicholas
Naranpanawa, Athula
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Recent focus on poverty alleviation under the United Nations Millennium Development Goals has led to a renewed interest in understanding the regional or State level economic impacts of agricultural productivity improvements within the context of emerging and developing countries. However, the empirical evidence on this linkage has been ambiguous. India makes an interesting case study to understand this linkage as it has the largest concentration of poor despite being one of the world's fastest growing economies (Topalova, 2008). Hence, this paper develops the first ever State-level "bottom-up" Computable General Equilibrium Model for India in order to analyze the above linkage within a general equilibrium framework. Overall, the results suggest that, in the long run, improvement in agricultural productivity has a beneficial impact on agricultural States. Furthermore, the States that contain a higher percentage of rural poor have also been stimulated well above the national average, which highlights the pro-poor growth effects of agricultural productivity improvements.
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Copyright © 2010 by author(s). No part of this paper may be reproduced in any form, or stored in a retrieval system, without prior permission of the author(s).
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Subject
C68 - Computable General Equilibrium Models
Q16 - Agricultural R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
R11 - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Agricultural productivity
Regional economic growth
Pro-poor growth
Computable general equilibrium model
South Asia
India