Has international borrowing or lending driven Australia’s net capital inflow?

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
File version
Author(s)
Makin, Anthony J
Narayan, Paresh Kumar
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)

H Beladi & CR Chen

Date
2013
Size

423489 bytes

File type(s)

application/pdf

Location
License
Abstract

Over recent decades the most significant global imbalances have been between Asia-Pacific economies, with most attention directed to the imbalances of the largest economies, China, Japan and the United States. In contrast, this paper examines how external account imbalances and real long term interest rates are determined in smaller open economies. It first derives the proposition that external imbalances and long term interest rates move together whenever saving-investment shocks are predominantly domestically sourced, but move oppositely when saving-investment shocks mainly emanate abroad. It then shows that in the case of Australia, an Asia-Pacific economy that has borrowed heavily from abroad since the mid 1980's, rising net capital inflow has had a statistically significant negative impact on domestic real interest rates. This suggests that over that time net international lending rather than net foreign borrowing was mainly responsible for the variation in its external imbalance and real interest rates.

Journal Title

International Review of Economics and Finance

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

27

Issue

June

Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

© 2013 Elsevier Inc. This is the author-manuscript version of this paper. Reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the journal's website for access to the definitive, published version.

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Economic theory

Applied economics

Banking, finance and investment

Persistent link to this record
Citation
Collections