Cross-market overnight time-series momentum

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files
Xu10470918.pdf
Embargoed until 2027-10-21
File version

Accepted Manuscript (AM)

Author(s)
Xu, Dezhong
Li, Bin
Singh, Tarlok
Chen, Xiaoyue
Li, Jinze
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2025
Size
File type(s)
Location
Abstract

We propose a new cross-market overnight momentum: the US stock market’s last half-hour return predicts the next day’s first half-hour stock returns in international markets. This predictability is statistically significant both in- and out-of-sample. The corresponding cross-market overnight time-series momentum (COTSM) strategy shows economic significance in international stock markets investments. The COTSM strategy remains profitable with the consideration of transaction costs, and the profitability is driven by some specific market characteristics. The COTSM is strong when international market spread is low, or information uncertainty is high.

Journal Title

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

105

Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

This accepted manuscript is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Investment and risk management

Banking, finance and investment

Applied economics

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Xu, D; Li, B; Singh, T; Chen, X; Li, J, Cross-market overnight time-series momentum, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2025, 105, pp. 102239

Collections