Has Thailand's current account balance been optimal?: Insights from pre‐ and post‐liberalization periods
File version
Author(s)
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
In this paper a representative agent model of the optimal level of saving and the current account balance for a small open economy is applied to Thailand. The optimal values of these variables are compared with the actual values for the period 1976 to 1995. This comparison enables an evaluation of the level of saving and overseas borrowing by Thailand over the period. The results for most scenarios suggest that Thailand under‐saved and over‐incurred foreign liabilities in the 1980s but that the reverse occurred during 1990–95. There is also evidence that since economic liberalization Thailand has been able to use the world capital market to achieve saving and current account outcomes which are more closely correlated with their optimal levels. This suggests an improvement in economic welfare associated with the period of liberalization. Finally, simulations show that annual increases in optimal national saving need only be very small in order to ensure relatively low steady‐state levels of optimal foreign liabilities.
Journal Title
Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
4
Issue
2
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Applied economics
Banking, finance and investment
Policy and administration