Summary for Policymakers
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Roberts, Debra C
Adams, Helen
Adler, Carolina
Aldunce, Paulina
Ali, Elham
Ara Begum, Rawshan
Betts, Richard
Bezner Kerr, Rachel
Biesbroek, Robbert
Birkmann, Joern
Bowen, Kathryn
Castellanos, Edwin
Cissé, Guéladio
Nalau, Johanna
et al.
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Portner, Hans-Otto
Roberts, Debra C
Tignor, Melinda MB
Poloczanska, Elvira
Mintenbeck, Katja
Alegría, Andrés
Craig, Marlies
Langsdorf, Stefanie
Löschke, Sina
Möller, Vincent
Okem, Andrew
Rama, Bardhyl
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Abstract
This Summary for Policymakers (SPM) presents key findings of the Working Group II (WGII) contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the IPCC1 . The report builds on the WGII contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the IPCC, three Special Reports2 , and the Working Group I (WGI) contribution to the AR6 cycle.
This report recognizes the interdependence of climate, ecosystems and biodiversity3 , and human societies (Figure SPM.1) and integrates knowledge more strongly across the natural, ecological, social and economic sciences than earlier IPCC assessments. The assessment of climate change impacts and risks as well as adaptation is set against concurrently unfolding non-climatic global trends e.g., biodiversity loss, overall unsustainable consumption of natural resources, land and ecosystem degradation, rapid urbanisation, human demographic shifts, social and economic inequalities and a pandemic.
The scientific evidence for each key finding is found in the 18 chapters of the underlying report and in the 7 cross-chapter papers as well as the integrated synthesis presented in the Technical Summary (hereafter TS) and referred to in curly brackets {}. Based on scientific understanding, key findings can be formulated as statements of fact or associated with an assessed level of confidence using the IPCC calibrated language4 . The WGII Global to Regional Atlas (Annex I) facilitates exploration of key synthesis findings across the WGII regions.
The concept of risk is central to all three AR6 Working Groups. A risk framing and the concepts of adaptation, vulnerability, exposure, resilience, equity and justice, and transformation provide alternative, overlapping, complementary, and widely used entry points to the literature assessed in this WGII report.
Across all three AR6 working groups, risk5 provides a framework for understanding the increasingly severe, interconnected and often irreversible impacts of climate change on ecosystems, biodiversity, and human systems; differing impacts across regions, sectors and communities; and how to best reduce adverse consequences for current and future generations. In the context of climate change, risk can arise from the dynamic interactions among climate-related hazards6 (see Working Group I), the exposure7 and vulnerability8 of affected human and ecological systems. The risk that can be introduced by human responses to climate change is a new aspect considered in the risk concept. This report identifies 127 key risks9 . {1.3, 16.5}
The vulnerability of exposed human and natural systems is a component of risk, but also, independently, an important focus in the literature. Approaches to analysing and assessing vulnerability have evolved since previous IPCC assessments. Vulnerability is widely understood to differ within communities and across societies, regions and countries, also changing through time.
Adaptation10 plays a key role in reducing exposure and vulnerability to climate change. Adaptation in ecological systems includes autonomous adjustments through ecological and evolutionary processes. In human systems, adaptation can be anticipatory or reactive, as well as incremental and/ or transformational. The latter changes the fundamental attributes of a social-ecological system in anticipation of climate change and its impacts. Adaptation is subject to hard and soft limits11 .
Resilience12 in the literature has a wide range of meanings. Adaptation is often organized around resilience as bouncing back and returning to a previous state after a disturbance. More broadly the term describes not just the ability to maintain essential function, identity and structure, but also the capacity for transformation.
This report recognises the value of diverse forms of knowledge such as scientific, as well as Indigenous knowledge and local knowledge in understanding and evaluating climate adaptation processes and actions to reduce risks from human-induced climate change. AR6 highlights adaptationsolutions which are effective, feasible 13 , and conform to principles of justice 14 . The term climate justice, while used in different ways in different contexts by different communities, generally includes three principles: distributive justice which refers to the allocation of burdens and benefits among individuals, nations and generations; procedural justice which refers to who decides and participates in decision-making; andrecognition which entails basic respect and robust engagement with and fair consideration of diverse cultures and perspectives.
Effectiveness refers to the extent to which an action reduces vulnerability and climate-related risk, increases resilience, and avoids maladaptation15 .
This report has a particular focus on transformation16 and system transitions in energy; land, ocean, coastal and freshwater ecosystems; urban, rural and infrastructure; and industry and society. These transitions make possible the adaptation required for high levels of human health and well-being, economic and social resilience, ecosystem health17 , and planetary health18 (Figure SPM.1). These system transitions are also important for achieving the low global warming levels (Working Group III) that would avoid many limits to adaptation11. The report also assesses economic and non-economic losses and damages19 . This report labels the process of implementing mitigation and adaptation together in support of sustainable development for all as climate resilient development 20 .
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Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
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Climate change science
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Nalau, J, Summary for Policymakers, Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, 2022, pp. 3-36