Climatic, high tide and vector variables and the transmission of Ross River virus
File version
Author(s)
Hu, W
Nicholls, N
Dale, P
MacKenzie, JS
Patz, J
McMichael, AJ
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
This report assesses the impact of the variability in environmental and vector factors on the transmission of Ross River virus (RRV) in Brisbane, Australia. Poisson time series regression analyses were conducted using monthly data on the counts of RRV cases, climate variables (Southern Oscillation Index and rainfall), high tides and mosquito density for the period of 1998-2001. The results indicate that increases in the high tide (relative risk (RR): 1.65; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20-2.26), rainfall (RR: 1.45; 95% CI: 1.21-1.73), mosquito density (RR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.09-1.27), the density of Culex annulirostris (RR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.13-1.37) and the density of Ochlerotatus vigilax (RR: 2.39; 95% CI: 2.30-2.48), each at a lag of 1 month, were statistically significantly associated with the rise of monthly RRV incidence. The results of the present study might facilitate the development of early warning systems for reducing the incidence of this wide-spread disease in Australia and other Pacific island nations. (Intern Med J 2005; 35: 677-680)
Journal Title
Internal Medicine Journal
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
35
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
© 2005 Blackwell Publishing. The definitive version is available at [www.blackwell-synergy.com.]
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
Clinical sciences