Enhancing Monthly Streamflow Prediction with LSTM-P and ANN-P Models using Statistical Feature-Based Penalty Factors

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files
Xu10458142.pdf
Embargoed until 2026-04-30
File version

Accepted Manuscript (AM)

Author(s)
Xu, Z
Zheng, H
Zhang, H
Wang, X
Xu, X
Liu, P
Feng, S
Wang, J
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2025
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract

Accurate monthly streamflow prediction is critical for effective flood mitigation and water resource management. This study presents a novel approach that incorporates penalty terms over statistical features of input data into the loss functions of two models, LSTM-P and ANN-P, aiming to improve the predictive accuracy of monthly streamflow models during testing periods. Four specific penalty types were proposed: minimum boundary, maximum boundary, mean interval, and standard deviation interval penalties. Using historical monthly streamflow data from a hydrological station in China, the study analyzes to determine the optimal weights for each penalty and tests combinations to assess their collective impact on model performance. Comparative analysis under different penalty conditions reveals that incorporating statistical feature-based penalties during training improves predictive accuracy and enhances consistency in performance between training and testing periods—an outcome rarely achieved in previous approaches.

Journal Title

Water Resources Management

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
Issue
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement

This work is covered by copyright. You must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the document is available under a specified licence, refer to the licence for details of permitted re-use. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please make a copyright takedown request using the form at https://www.griffith.edu.au/copyright-matters.

Item Access Status
Note

This publication has been entered in Griffith Research Online as an advance online version.

Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Persistent link to this record
Citation

Xu, Z; Zheng, H; Zhang, H; Wang, X; Xu, X; Liu, P; Feng, S; Wang, J, Enhancing Monthly Streamflow Prediction with LSTM-P and ANN-P Models using Statistical Feature-Based Penalty Factors, Water Resources Management, 2025

Collections