Diagnostic Sensitivity of Plasma Endothelin-1 for Cerebral Vasospasm After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage, a Multicentre Double-Blind Study

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Bellapart, Judith
Nasrallah, Fatima
Winearls, James
Lassig-Smith, Melissa
Stuart, Janine
Boots, Rob
Winter, Craig
Flaws, Dylan
Bulmer, Andrew
Jones, Lee
Laupland, Kevin Bjorn
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2021
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to establish the diagnostic sensitivity of Endothelin-1 for risk stratification and screening of clinical vasospasm after subarachnoid hemorrhage. This is a multicentre, observational study, correlating daily blood Endothelin-1 with clinical variables. Binary logistic regression used to examine if Endothelin-1 levels could be used to predict clinical vasospasm. Bivariate modelling used to explore associations between patient characteristics and vasospasm. A Receiver Operating Curve used to explore cut-off values for Endothelin-1. Sensitivity and specificity was used to validate the cut-point found in the pilot study. A total of 96 patients were enrolled over two years. Median Endothelin-1 was higher for patients who experienced clinical vasospasm except for day-5, where median endothelin for patients without vasospasm was higher (3.6 IQR = 5.3), compared to patients with vasospasm (3.3 IQR = 8.5) although differences were not significant. The Receiver Operating Curve analysis confirmed that day-5 Endothelin-1 was not a good indicator of vasospasm, with an area under the curve of 0.506 (95% CI: 0.350-0.663, p = 0.938). The levels of Endothelin-1 in blood do not discriminate patients who may develop symptomatic vasospasm. The high variability in Endothelin-1 levels, aligns with the pathophysiological variability of most biomarkers, decreasing their ability to predict a clinical event.

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Journal of Intensive Care Medicine

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This publication has been entered as an advanced online version in Griffith Research Online.

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Clinical sciences

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Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Critical Care Medicine

General & Internal Medicine

vasospasm

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Bellapart, J; Nasrallah, F; Winearls, J; Lassig-Smith, M; Stuart, J; Boots, R; Winter, C; Flaws, D; Bulmer, A; Jones, L; Laupland, KB, Diagnostic Sensitivity of Plasma Endothelin-1 for Cerebral Vasospasm After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage, a Multicentre Double-Blind Study, Journal of Intensive Care Medicine, 2021

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