Would a decrease in fertility be a threat to living standards in Australia?
File version
Author(s)
M. McDonald, Ian
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
David Johnson, John Creedy, Stephen King
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
Falling rates of fertility in many countries have led to concerns that low fertility is a threat to future living standards. In this article we report simulations of living standards for Australia that take into account the effect of demographic change. These simulations show that reduced fertility would actually increase living standards, albeit by a small amount. We also present projections of government social outlays. These projections suggest that reductions in fertility will have an insignificant or tiny tax-disincentive effect on GDP, thereby reinforcing our conclusion that reductions in fertility are not a threat to future living standards.
Journal Title
The Australian Economic Review
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
35
Issue
1
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
© 2002 Blackwell Publishing. The definitive version is available at [www.blackwell-synergy.com.]
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Economics