Causation, decision theory, and Bell's theorem: A quantum analogue of the Newcomb problem
File version
Accepted Manuscript (AM)
Author(s)
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract
I apply some of the lessons from quantum theory, in particular from Bell's theorem, to a debate on the foundations of decision theory and causation. By tracing a formal analogy between the basic assumptions of causal decision theory (CDT)-which was developed partly in response to Newcomb's problem-and those of a local hidden variable theory in the context of quantum mechanics, I show that an agent who acts according to CDT and gives any nonzero credence to some possible causal interpretations underlying quantum phenomena should bet against quantum mechanics in some feasible game scenarios involving entangled systems, no matter what evidence they acquire. As a consequence, either the most accepted version of decision theory is wrong, or it provides a practical distinction, in terms of the prescribed behaviour of rational agents, between some metaphysical hypotheses regarding the causal structure underlying quantum mechanics.
Journal Title
British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume
61
Issue
3
Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
© 2010 Oxford University Press. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in British Journal for the Philosophy of Science following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version, Causation, Decision Theory, and Bell’s Theorem: A Quantum Analogue of the Newcomb Problem, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 61 (3), pp. 569-597 is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axp050
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject
Philosophy
History and philosophy of science
Foundations of quantum mechanics
Decision theory