Event Prediction Based on Causality Reasoning

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Author(s)
Lei, Lei
Ren, X
Franciscus, N
Wang, J
Stantic, B
Griffith University Author(s)
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Nguyen, NT

Gaol, FL

Hong, TP

Trawinski, B

Date
2019
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Yogyakarta, Indonesia

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Abstract

Event prediction is a challenging task which is controversial and highly debatable in the area of text mining. Previous works in utilizing causality reasoning for event prediction have shown a promising outcome in recent years. Many causality-based event prediction systems have been designed where various models, methods, and algorithms are used respectively to (1) extract events from texts, (2) construct causality relationships among events and (3) predict future events based on the causality relationships. In this paper, we first present a brief survey to systematically discuss the existing literature and highlight a common framework of the causality based event prediction systems. We discovered that most systems are not context-aware, which in reality leads to a poor performance. Based on that, we present a revised framework for causality-based event prediction, where we consider the context-related information. Our preliminary experiments suggest that the revised framework improved the overall quality of predicted events.

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Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)

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11431 LNAI

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Subject

Artificial intelligence

Information and computing sciences

Science & Technology

Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence

Computer Science, Information Systems

Computer Science, Theory & Methods

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Lei, L; Ren, X; Franciscus, N; Wang, J; Stantic, B, Event Prediction Based on Causality Reasoning, Intelligent Information and Database Systems, 2019, 11431 LNAI, pp. 165-176