Urban-rural disparity in heatwave effects on diabetes mortality in eastern China: A case-crossover analysis in 2016–2019

No Thumbnail Available
File version
Author(s)
Tao, Junwen
Zheng, Hao
Ho, Hung Chak
Wang, Xiling
Hossain, Mohammad Zahid
Bai, Zhongliang
Wang, Ning
Su, Hong
Xu, Zhiwei
Cheng, Jian
Griffith University Author(s)
Primary Supervisor
Other Supervisors
Editor(s)
Date
2023
Size
File type(s)
Location
License
Abstract

Diabetics are sensitive to high ambient temperature due to impaired thermoregulation. However, available evidence on the impact of prolonged high temperature (i.e., heatwave) on diabetes deaths is limited and whether urban and rural areas differ in heatwave vulnerability remains unknown so far. A time-stratified case-crossover analysis was employed to estimate the association between heatwaves and diabetes deaths in 1486 districts (509 urban and 977 rural areas) of eastern China (Jiangsu Province), 2016–2019. For each decedent, residential heatwave exposure was measured by matching daily mean temperatures to the geocoded residential address. We adopted nine-tiered heatwave definitions incorporating intensity and duration. Stratified analyses by decedents' characteristics (gender, age, and education) were also conducted. During the study period, there were 18,685 deaths from diabetes (urban proportion: 36.95 %, p-value for urban-rural difference < 0.05). Heatwaves were associated with an increased risk of diabetes deaths, with greater and longer-lasting effects in rural areas than urban areas [e.g., rural odds ratio (OR): 1.19 (95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.14, 1.25) vs. urban OR: 1.09 (95 % CI: 1.05, 1.12)]. Risk of diabetes deaths increased with the intensity of heatwaves in rural areas (p-value for trend <0.01), but not in urban areas. Stratified analyses in rural areas suggested that females and less-educated people were more vulnerable to heatwave-related diabetes deaths. Our findings revealed the urban-rural disparity in the risk of diabetes deaths associated with heatwaves. Rural diabetics should be made aware of the increased death risk posed by heatwaves in the context of warming climate.

Journal Title

Science of the Total Environment

Conference Title
Book Title
Edition
Volume

858

Issue

Part 2

Thesis Type
Degree Program
School
Publisher link
Patent number
Funder(s)
Grant identifier(s)
Rights Statement
Rights Statement
Item Access Status
Note
Access the data
Related item(s)
Subject

Endocrinology

Public health

Epidemiology

Science & Technology

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Environmental Sciences

Environmental Sciences & Ecology

Heatwave

Persistent link to this record
Citation

Tao, J; Zheng, H; Ho, HC; Wang, X; Hossain, MZ; Bai, Z; Wang, N; Su, H; Xu, Z; Cheng, J, Urban-rural disparity in heatwave effects on diabetes mortality in eastern China: A case-crossover analysis in 2016–2019, Science of The Total Environment, 2023, 858 (Part 2), pp. 160026

Collections