Climate Change, Adaptation in Agriculture and Poverty in Nepal: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

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Bandaralage, Jayatilleke

Naranpanawa, Athula

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Sarker, Tapan

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2017
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Abstract

Agriculture is one of the sectors most affected by climate change in Nepal. Crop production, especially rice, wheat and maize, the main food staples, are the most susceptible to climate change and variability. Any changes in climate will thus increase uncertainty regarding production of these staples, as climate is the major cause of the year-to-year variability in their productivity. This study is motivated partly by the susceptibility of the Nepalese agricultural system to climate change and partly by the lack of economy-wide studies of climate change of Nepal on this topic. The overall aim of this thesis is thus to assess the economy-wide impacts of climate change and land re-allocation as an adaptation strategy in the Nepalese agricultural system at three levels: macro; sectoral; and household. At the macro level, this study investigated the impacts of climate change and adaptation on national GDP, overall employment and trade balances. At the sectoral level, this study investigated the changes in sectoral output and sectoral employment due to climate change and adaptation in Nepalese farming system. Finally, this study investigated the effects of climate change and adaptation on household income, consumption, consumer prices and ultimately absolute poverty in seven different household groups developed in the model.

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Thesis (PhD Doctorate)

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Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

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Griffith Business School

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The author owns the copyright in this thesis, unless stated otherwise.

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Subject

Agriculture, Nepal

Crop production, Nepal

Poverty, Nepal

Climate change, Nepal

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